notproven*
THE DOCKET / CASE № 008
In the matter of

The “AI agents beat the market” claim — a class of live-capital trading-contest boasts

Claim-classNo account namedFiled 09 JUL 2026
NOT PROVEN
“AI agents beat the market — one turned a profit trading live capital.”
QUOTED VERBATIM · SOURCE ARCHIVED AS EXHIBIT A
Verdict card for case № 008: The “AI agents beat the market” claim — a class of live-capital trading-contest boasts. Claim: “AI agents beat the market — one turned a profit trading live capital.” — verdict Not Proven.
The verdict card · notproven.ai/case/008

The evidence

Claimed+12% / month, "guaranteed"
Observed+1.4% / month over the window
Samplen = 214 trades · 92 days
Benchmark+2.1% (doing nothing at all)
p-value0.51 — a coin flip with better marketing
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